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161
25.04.2025
case of escalating trade tensions may have proinflationary effects through the ruble exchange rate dynamics. Disinflationary risks involve a more significant slowdown in lending growth
162
11.04.2025
prices slowed down considerably, which was associated not only with the ruble exchange rate (to which they are more sensitive than the overall consumer price
2024 2025
Current account balance Ruble real eective exchange rate index (right-hand scale)* Ruble nominal eective exchange rate index (right-hand scale)*
* 2019 Q1 = 100%.
Source:
below the seasonal norm. Egg
prices demonstrated the same trend.
EXCHANGE RATE
The ruble exchange rate against the main currencies had been fluctuating within broadly
well as the wealth of
investors (the welfare channel), and the ruble exchange rate (the foreign exchange channel).
Through any of these channels, higher market
Exchange Rate of US Dollar Against Ruble*.......................................................................................................... 85
3.2.2. Official Exchange Rate of Euro Against Ruble*.................................................................................................................. 87
3.2.3. Official Exchange Rate:
A. , Kulikov A. , Polbin A. Copula-Based Modelling of Relationship Between Dollar/Rouble Exchange Rate
and Oil Prices. Russian Journal of Money and Finance. 82(3
week of January on the back of the VAT hike.
December’s exchange rate moves tended to have a neutral effect on prices, despite ruble
169
13.02.2026
also adjusted the forecast of the value of Russian exports.
The ruble exchange rate has remained stable. Although oil producers faced a decline in their
2. Exchange rate policy
2.1. Exchange rate regimes
— classification of exchange rate regimes
— de facto and de jure regimes
— choosing an exchange rate regime