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the most volatile components Overall inflation
CPI
Median (more than 500 components)
Inflation target
Trend inflation (5-year rolling window) Inflation target
Source: Rosstat, R&F
Observed inflation Expected inflation Annual inflation
Price growth inertia is intensified by high and unanchored inflation expectations of households and businesses. In January,
households’ inflation
for
obligations of the Government of the Russian Federation, debt achieving the inflation target. The key rate is set by the Bank
obligations of other
rate and Inflation 3.0% Inflation 4.9% Inflation 8.4% Inflation 8.7%
Inflation targeting is
represented as a developed, the inflation targeting by
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Speaking of the impact of imported inflation on domestic inflation, you see, if imported inflation had not translated into inflation expectations and companies’ opportunities to
actual / estimate) 2022 2023 2024
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year 8.4 5.0-6.0 4.0 4.0
Inflation, average for the year, as
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in the middle of 2023. Further on, annual inflation will stay close to 4%.
Inflation movements. Inflation is developing appreciably above the Bank of Russia
MB
MB MB MB
MBs’ percentage in inflation % 2021 100 34 11 12 14 13 11 5
Inflation % YoY Dec21 8.4 8.3 8.
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in consumer expenses driven by both higher wages and retail lending. As inflation expectations stay high, households still prefer not to make savings. Furthermore, the
premium associated with
inflation fluctuations. In turn, the transmission mechanism, that is the effectiveness of monetary
policy, which affects the economy and inflation through changes